Without All-Stars, Hornets get upended by Grizzlies

Basketball Betting Lines

02/09/2009 - Memphis, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rookie star O.J. Mayo scored 22 points and pulled down 16 rebounds, as the Memphis Grizzlies defeated the undermanned New Orleans Hornets, 85-80, in a poor shooting display at the FedEx Forum.

Mike Conley added 18 points and eight assists for the Grizzlies, who have won four of their last five games. Hakim Warrick totaled 15 points and 14 boards for Memphis, which shot 36.4 percent (28-of-77) from the field and set a franchise-record with 64 rebounds.

Peja Stojakovic had 23 points and seven caroms to pace the Hornets, who were without the services of two All-Stars. Point guard Chris Paul was inactive for the fourth straight game with a strained right groin, while forward David West served a one-game suspension for committing a flagrant foul type two during Sunday's 101-97 victory over Minnesota.

James Posey and Antonio Daniels scored 11 points apiece for New Orleans, which shot a lowly 29.5 percent (26-of-88) from the floor and lost for the fifth time in its last seven games.

After trailing 22-21 after the opening 12 minutes, the Grizzlies emerged with a slim 40-39 edge at the break. A Darko Milicic dunk gave the home team a 60-48 lead with 3:45 remaining in the third quarter, but New Orleans battled back, going on an 18-6 run that carried over to the fourth quarter to even things up at 66-66.

Mayo nailed a jumper and Warrick converted 1-of-2 at the foul line to make it 77-71 with about 3 1/2 minutes remaining in the game. Posey drained a three- pointer with seven seconds remaining to draw the visitors within 83-80, but Mayo sealed the win at the charity stripe.

Game Notes

Memphis small forward Rudy Gay missed his second straight contest with a strained hip flexor...Marc Gasol provided 10 points and 10 rebounds in the win for the Grizzlies, who snapped a seven-game skid against the Hornets...Memphis improved to 12-18 at home this season, while New Orleans fell to 12-11 on the road.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on college football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.